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Metals Stocks: Gold prices turn higher despite U.S. inflation rate climbing to a nearly 4 decade high

Gold prices turned higher on Friday even though the U.S. government reported that the rate of consumer inflation hit the the highest level in nearly 40 years.

Prices for the precious metal had been stuck in range bound trading, “supported by inflation and omicron concerns as well as persistently, historically-low real rates,” but prices were capped by a strong U.S. dollar and concerns the Federal Reserve may more aggressively tighten monetary policy, said Jeff Klearman, portfolio manager at GraniteShares, which offers the GraniteShares Gold Trust

Ten-year U.S. real interest rates, “while increasing this week, have also been range bound, remaining at or near historically low (and negative) levels,” he told MarketWatch. “The current low level of real rates reflects a great deal of uncertainty regarding the course of future Fed monetary policy and until they increase and maintain higher levels they will continue to support gold prices.”

Data on Friday revealed that the U.S. cost of living climbed in November and drove the rate of inflation to a nearly 40-year of 6.8%. The consumer price index increased 0.8% last month, more than the 0.7% advance expected by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

The “much higher-than-expected CPI release not only increases inflation concerns but also adds to concerns the Fed may have fallen behind in its fight against inflation,” said Klearman.” A too aggressive Fed, acting to combat inflation, may also detrimentally affect economic growth leading to falling stock (and other asset) prices, providing support to gold prices.”

February gold 


climbed by $4.40, or 0.3%, to $1,781.10 an ounce. The metal slipped 0.5% on Thursday, and is down nearly 0.2% in the week so far. Meanwhile, March silver 

tacked on 9.7 cents, or 0.4%, to $22.11 an ounce, on track for a weekly decline of around 1.6%.

The higher-than-expected rate of inflation is likely to encourage the Fed to speed up tapering of asset purchases in an effort to slow inflation, said Jason Teed, co-portfolio manager of the Gold Bullion Strategy Fund

“Higher rates typically translate to downward pressure on gold,” he said. However, “markets may be anticipating that inflation will run hotter than the Fed would like going forward, leading to upward movement” in gold.

The U.S. dollar was little changed at 96.294, as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index 
 a gauge of the buck against a half-dozen rivals, on track to end around 0.2% higher for the week. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note

fell 1.9 basis points to 1.465%.

In other Comex dealings, March copper 

traded at $4.303 a pound, down 0.7% in Friday dealings, but trading 0.9% higher for the week.

January platinum 

fell. 1.3% to $925.60 an ounce, trading little changed from the week-ago settlement. March palladium 

 fell 2.5% to $1,768 an ounce, with prices also trading about 2.5% lower for the week.

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