Wall Street is wobbling as we close in on earnings season, which begins in earnest tomorrow. Barring supply-chain woes and labor problems, companies could add to a record-breaking year, but that’s a big “if.”
Our call of the day from a team of more than 20 Citigroup strategists led by Michael Ashford takes us into the hopeful future, with 10 new innovation ideas and accompanying long-term stock ideas to think about.
“A few of the “new” concepts may not seem quite that new — e.g., alternative proteins and psychedelic drugs — but new technology and increased acceptance could make them game-changers,” says the report.
3-D architecture in semiconductors. Citi says technical complexity in the fabrication— manufacturing of those devices process may, strengthen market leaders’ edge. Its top pick here is Samsung Electronics
with LAM Research
AI airline surveillance. Artificial intelligence coming to your next flight could gauge temperature, pulse rates, etc. to detect contagious infections or intoxication. Global network airlines, with high international exposure relative to low-cost peers, should be at the forefront. Citi’s long-term picks include Delta Air Lines
Alternative proteins. Over time, Citi sees more consumers shifting to alternative meats for health or climate change reasons. Beyond Meat
are most exposed to growth of alternative meats, says the bank.
Ammonia propulsion in jet engines. In the race to reduce aviation emissions, ammonia is one solution that’s cheap and feasible. Green ammonia is still some ways away, and Citi sees several zero/low emissions solutions as winners. Its future ammonia plays include Yara
and International Consolidated Airlines
De-polymerizing plastics. Advanced chemical recycling systems is seen as a solution to help eliminate plastic waste from landfills, replacing current mechanical recycling systems. Citi sees opportunity for plastic resin producers Dow
Direct air capture. Citi expects the process that captures carbon straight from the air to be a key party of energy transition strategies, and require governmental support. Top picks here include Occidental Petroleum
and Aker Carbon Capture
Metaverse malls. In the future of the internet, virtual stores will sell both digital and physical products to consumers who divide their time in both worlds, thanks to smartphones, virtual reality headsets and augmented reality glasses. Facebook
are two ways to play this, says Citi.
mRNA vaccines. A year ago, the leading technology for COVID-19 vaccines was viewed as largely unproven, and now trials are under way to treat several infectious diseases, with genetic diseases and even cancer among future possibilities. Sanofi
Nonfungible tokens – NFTs. Beneficiaries include companies or individuals whose main business is selling content or branded goods, one that enables the creation, minting, staking, sharing or trading of NFTs in the secondary market, and service companies that help content creators navigate this new ecosystem. Beneficiaries include Robinhood
Psychedelic drugs is Citi’s last disruptive idea. “Despite their checkered history, psychedelic drugs such as LSD, psilocybin (“magic mushrooms”), and DMT (ayahuasca) are making a comeback, and could revolutionize the mental-health treatment paradigm. Top picks include ATAI Life Sciences
and COMPASS Pathways
Here’s a visual on all that:
are tumbling after the German biopharmaceutical group said it’s scrapping plans for a COVID-19 vaccine and will focus on developing second-generation mRNA shots with GlaxoSmithKline
On the earnings front, industrial distributor Fastenal
reported earnings in line with expectations and just beat on sales. JPMorgan
hitting Wednesday and more big names throughout the rest of the week.
Dogged by labor shortage worries, a closely watched small-business confidence gauge hit a six-month low in September. We’ll also get job openings and the International Monetary Fund’s world economic outlook. Consumer prices are coming Wednesday and retail sales Friday.
And another China property company, Sinic Holdings, may be veering into default.
Meanwhile, China’s coal futures hit another record amid massive, deadly floods in the country’s important northern mining region.
Listen to MarketWatch’s new podcast — The Best New Ideas in Money.
Buying the “Evergrande dip is the first one this year that has immediately paid off,” for investors, notes Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s equity strategist, who provides the above chart in a note to clients. And it’s a key question to ask going forward — will the retail community keep buying that dip, he says.
“We think it depends on how fast the market can reclaim prior support. The sooner the better because earnings season is unlikely to provide the necessary catalyst,” he says.
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